This should go to Greinke, but I'm afraid it'll go to Sabathia if he gets to 20 wins. Unfortunately, the difference in their win totals is an artifact of run support (second to last column). Sabathia gets 7.84, which is 10th most in the AL among pitchers with at least 140IP, as of this morning. Greinke gets a measly 4.71, which is 36th, or worst, in the AL among pitchers with at least 140IP.
I tried to come up with reasons to resign myself to Sabathia winning the award, and thought "hey, he's pitched great since the All-Star break, and while Greinke was amazing in April/May, he hasn't been as hot since." Well... actually, Greinke's stats before and after the break are each at least as good as Sabathia's post all-star stats.
Sabathia's numbers:
ERA
W
L
G
GS
CG
IP
H
R
ER
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Pre All-Star
3.86
8
6
19
19
2
128.1
110
58
55
11
38
95
0.232
Post All-Star
2.36
11
1
14
14
0
99
79
29
26
7
24
99
0.22
Greinke's numbers:
ERA
W
L
G
GS
CG
IP
H
R
ER
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Pre All-Star
2.12
10
5
18
18
5
127.1
116
38
30
4
21
129
0.245
Post All-Star
2.02
5
3
13
13
1
89
66
21
20
7
26
100
0.202
Let's hope the voters get this one right.
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